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September 7, 2010 |
View our complete news listing.Initiation of Research Coverage: Generac Holdings Inc.CHICAGO, March 30, 2010 - William Blair & Company initiated research coverage of Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC $14.75), a leading provider of residential, commercial, and industrial generators, with an Outperform rating and Core Growth company profile.Analyst Corey Tobin estimated the company would generate adjusted earnings per share of $1.88 in 2010 and $2.02 in 2011. “We believe underlying demand for Generac’s product, particularly in the residential segment, should remain supported by favorable macro trends for some time,” Tobin said. “We estimate Generac is addressing a $4 billion annual opportunity in North America; we expect the company to benefit from an aging electricity grid in the United States as well as demographic trends shifting toward an older population (key buyers of Generac’s residential products). Its sales drivers include marketplace adoption of residential standby systems (only 2% penetration today); market share gains in the portable, commercial, and industrial markets; and eventually international expansion. Generac sits in a favorable competitive position, particularly in the market for residential standby systems, where it has 70% share and the largest distribution channel.” Tobin continued, “We believe the company’s asset-light business model helps it generate attractive adjusted EBITDA margins (in the mid-20% range) relative to other industrial companies. While we recognize that Generac’s top-line growth is slightly lower than the peer group mean, we believe the company’s significantly higher EBITDA margins and business model that supports very high returns on net invested capital deployed in manufacturing activities help offset the top-line discount. In addition, we believe our assumptions regarding severe weather-related ‘awareness events’ will prove conservative over the intermediate to long term, leading to upside to our long-term projected growth rates.” William Blair & Company, L.L.C. is a global investment firm offering investment banking, asset management, equity research, institutional and private brokerage, and private capital to individual, institutional, and issuing clients. Since 1935, we have been committed to helping clients achieve their financial objectives. As an independent, employee-owned firm, our philosophy is to serve our clients' interests first and foremost. We place a high value on the enduring nature of our client relationships, the quality of our products and services, and the continuity and integrity of our people. William Blair & Company is based in Chicago, with office locations including Boston, London, New York, San Francisco, Shanghai, Tokyo, and Zurich. For more information, please visit www.williamblair.com. Coverage List William Blair & Company, L.L.C. intends to seek or expects to receive compensation for investment banking services from this company. William Blair & Company, L.L.C. was a manager or co-manager of a public offering of equity securities within the prior 12 months. William Blair & Company, L.L.C. is a market maker in the security of this company and may have a long or short position. Additional information is available upon request. Current Ratings Distribution (as of 2/28/10) Coverage Universe Outperform (Buy): 66% Market Perform (Hold): 33% Underperform (Sell): 1% Inv. Banking Relationships* Outperform (Buy): 5% Market Perform (Hold): 1% Underperform (Sell): 0% * Percentage of companies in each rating category that are investment banking clients, defined as companies for which William Blair has received compensation for investment banking services within the past 12 months. Stock Rating: William Blair & Company, L.L.C. uses a three-point system to rate stocks. Individual ratings reflect the expected performance of the stock relative to the broader market over the next 12 months. The assessment of expected performance is a function of near-term company fundamentals, industry outlook, confidence in earnings estimates, valuation, and other factors. Outperform (O) – stock expected to outperform the broader market over the next 12 months; Market Perform (M) – stock expected to perform approximately in line with the broader market over the next 12 months; Underperform (U) – stock expected to underperform the broader market over the next 12 months; Not Rated (NR) – the stock is currently not rated. Company Profile: The William Blair research philosophy is focused on quality growth companies. Growth companies by their nature tend to be more volatile than the overall stock market. Company profile is a fundamental assessment, over a longer-term horizon, of the business risk of the company relative to the broader William Blair universe. Factors assessed include: 1) durability and strength of franchise (management strength and track record, market leadership, distinctive capabilities); 2) financial profile (earnings growth rate/consistency, cash flow generation, return on investment, balance sheet, accounting); 3) other factors such as sector or industry conditions, economic environment, confidence in long-term growth prospects, etc. Established Growth (E) – Fundamental risk is lower relative to the broader William Blair universe; Core Growth (C) – Fundamental risk is approximately in line with the broader William Blair universe; Aggressive Growth (A) – Fundamental risk is higher relative to the broader William Blair universe. The ratings and company profile assessments reflect the opinion of the individual analyst and are subject to change at any time. The compensation of the research analyst is based on a variety of factors, including performance of his or her stock recommendations; contributions to all of the firm’s departments, including asset management, corporate finance, institutional sales, and retail brokerage; firm profitability; and competitive factors. Our salespeople, traders, and other professionals may provide oral or written market commentary or trading strategies—to our clients and our trading desks—that are contrary to opinions expressed in this research. Our asset management and trading desks may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with recommendations or views expressed in this report. We will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell the securities referred to in this report. Our research is disseminated primarily electronically, and in some instances in printed form. Electronic research is simultaneously available to all clients. This research is for our clients only. No part of this material may be copied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of William Blair & Company, L.L.C. THIS IS NOT IN ANY SENSE A SOLICITATION OR OFFER OF THE PURCHASE OR SALE OF SECURITIES. THE FACTUAL STATEMENTS HEREIN HAVE BEEN TAKEN FROM SOURCES WE BELIEVE TO BE RELIABLE, BUT SUCH STATEMENTS ARE MADE WITHOUT ANY REPRESENTATION AS TO ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OR OTHERWISE. OPINIONS EXPRESSED ARE OUR OWN UNLESS OTHERWISE STATED. PRICES SHOWN ARE APPROXIMATE. THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN APPROVED FOR DISTRIBUTION IN THE UNITED KINGDOM BY WILLIAM BLAIR INTERNATIONAL, LIMITED, REGULATED BY THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AUTHORITY (FSA), AND IS DIRECTED ONLY AT, AND IS ONLY MADE AVAILABLE TO, PERSONS FALLING WITHIN COB 3.5 AND 3.6 OF THE FSA HANDBOOK (BEING “ELIGIBLE COUNTERPARTIES” AND “PROFESSIONAL CLIENTS”). 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